Effects of Rising Price of Gold on the LDSs' Demand for International Reserves

Termination of the Washington arrangements of 1968, whereby the participating countries agreed not to sell gold in the private gold market, resulted in two changes in international monetary environment. First, the market price of gold deviated from its official price. Second, countries were allowed to auction off gold component of their reserves. The supposition was that such changes will lower the demand for international liquidity. Using a simultaneous equation model of demand for and supply of reserves, it is concluded that indeed market price of gold exerts negative effects on the LDCs demand for reserves which is similar to the results obtained for DCs in the previous studies. [420]     

Exchange rate volatility and US commodity trade with the rest of the world

Exchange rate volatility is argued to affect the trade flows negatively and positively. Indeed, empirical studies that have addressed the issue have supported both effects. These studies have used aggregate trade flows data either between one country and the rest of the world or between two countries at the bilateral level. Studies that have disaggregated trade data by industry are rare. Thus, we extend the literature by looking at the experiences of 66 American industries that trade with the rest of the world using monthly data. In most cases, trade flows are not affected by GARCH‐based volatility of the real effective exchange rate of the dollar.     

Malaysia-EU trade at the industry level: Is there an asymmetric response to exchange rate volatility?

Aftab et al. (Empirica 43:461–485, 2016) in this journal assessed the impact of exchange rate volatility on Malaysia-EU trade at commodity level using the linear ARDL approach of Pesaran et al. (J Appl Econom 16:289–326, 2001) and did not find significant effects in most of the 81 Malaysian exporting and 66 importing industries. In this paper, we argue for asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on the same industries’ trades which implies using Shin et al.’s (Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt, Springer, New York, 2014) nonlinear ARDL approach. While we find short-run asymmetric effects of volatility in almost all industries, we find evidence of adjustment asymmetry in 17 exporting and nine importing industries. We also find significant impact or short-run cumulative asymmetry in 12 exporting and six importing industries. The most important finding is significant long-run asymmetric effects in 36 Malaysian exporting industries and 25 Malaysian importing industries. Clearly, trade flows react to an increased exchange rate volatility differently than to a decreased volatility.     

On the effects of income volatility on income distribution: Asymmetric evidence from state level data in the U.S.

A previous study that tried to assess the impact of income volatility on income inequality in the U.S. used state level data and a balanced panel model to conclude that increased volatility worsens income distribution in the U.S., which implies that decreased volatility should reduce inequality. We use the same data set that is extended by nine years and revisit the issue using linear and nonlinear ARDL time-series models to show that the above conclusion does not hold in every state. While we discover short-run asymmetric effects of income volatility on a measure of inequality in most states, they translate to long-run asymmetric effects only in 16 states. Both increased volatility and decreased volatility are found to have unequalizing effects on income distribution in these states.     

More evidence on the asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the demand for money: evidence from Asian

We try to assess the impact of exchange rate changes on the demand for money in eight Asian countries. When we followed the previous literature and the standard linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, we found exchange rate changes had no long-run significant effects in five out of the eight countries in our sample. However, when we applied the nonlinear ARDL approach and separated appreciations from depreciations, at least one of them or both had significant effects on the demand for money in India, Indonesia, Korea, the Philippines, and Singapore, supporting asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes. There was also evidence of short-run asymmetric effects.     

Asymmetric Effects of Policy Uncertainty on Domestic Investment in G7 Countries

Open Economies Review - Few studies in the literature have argued or empirically shown that the link between domestic investment and an uncertainty measure is nonlinear, or that the response of...     

Asymmetry Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Domestic Production in Emerging Countries

Previous studies that tried to assess the impact of exchange rate changes on domestic production of emerging economies assumed that the effects are symmetric and used a linear model to provide mixed results. In this article, we try to determine whether exchange rate changes could have asymmetric effects which amounts to using a nonlinear model. We find that the nonlinear model performs much better than the linear model and yields results that support asymmetry effects of exchange rate changes on domestic production in many of the countries in our sample, both in the short run and in the long run.